Wednesday, February 25, 2026

“‘Probably’: A Different Meaning for Your AI Than for You”

Understanding AI’s Interpretation of Probability: Bridging the Gap

In a recent study, we explored how AI chatbots like ChatGPT interpret estimation words like “likely” and “probably” differently than humans do. This divergence poses critical challenges in AI safety and human interaction.

Key Findings:

  • Misinterpretation of Uncertainty: AIs often assign rigid numerical values to ambiguous terms, leading to a gap in understanding with human users.
  • Context Matters: Humans rely on personal experiences and context, while AIs average conflicting data, skewing their interpretations.
  • Gender and Language Sensitivity: Changes in prompts can alter AI responses, highlighting biases embedded in training data.

Implications:

  • Misalignment can jeopardize public trust, particularly in sectors like healthcare and policy, where accurate communication of risk is essential.

For the future, efforts must focus on creating AI that not only predicts words but accurately conveys uncertainty.

👉 Let’s discuss your thoughts on this critical topic! Share your insights or experiences below.

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