Thursday, February 26, 2026

Navigating AI Safety: Lessons from Swamp Dirt – Insights by Josh Swords

Understanding Risk in Environmental Cleanup and AI Safety

In the early ‘90s, the EPA pushed for extensive cleanup of a New Hampshire toxic waste site. Despite the company’s significant efforts to make the area safe, the EPA demanded further reductions that would cost an additional $9.3 million. Why?

Key Takeaways:

  • Risk vs. Hazard: Risk is about the interaction of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability.
  • Realities of the Site: The site was uninhabited; the risk was minimal despite the high hazard.
  • Application in AI: This mental model applies to AI. As AI gains capability, the hazard increases, while exposure grows through adoption, raising vulnerability in economies dependent on white-collar jobs.

What’s Next?

Understanding this equation could help policymakers shift focus towards reducing societal vulnerability instead of solely obsessing over hazard reduction.

Let’s rethink how we approach risk! Share this insight to spark a vital discussion in the AI community.

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