Elon Musk’s Odds of Winning Against OpenAI Improve Following Revelation of For-Profit Intent in Private Notes

Elon Musk’s chances of winning his lawsuit against OpenAI have surged to 68% on prediction market Kalshi, following new evidence highlighting internal discussions about a for-profit transition at OpenAI. Documents submitted by Musk reveal diary entries from co-founder Greg Brockman, indicating that OpenAI’s leadership contemplated abandoning its nonprofit model sooner than publicly stated. Brockman noted that claiming a long-term commitment to nonprofit status would be dishonest if they pursued a for-profit shift soon after. The leaked documents also outline tensions between OpenAI’s mission and financial aspirations, with Brockman revealing concerns about significant financial goals and anticipating conflicts with Musk. OpenAI countered Musk’s claims, arguing he supported a for-profit model in 2017 but sought disproportionate control. A federal judge has permitted Musk’s lawsuit against OpenAI and Microsoft to proceed, focusing on allegations of violating nonprofit principles by accepting large Microsoft investments.

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