Bettors on Kalshi, a leading prediction market platform, forecast Google’s Gemini as the top AI text model by the end of 2025, reflecting its significant strides in the competitive large language model (LLM) arena. Currently, 57% of bettors favor Gemini, up from 48.1%, while OpenAI’s ChatGPT has decreased to 20% and xAI’s Grok to 15%. This prediction scenario will culminate on December 31, with a verification process by the LM Arena Leaderboard. Since Google announced updates for Gemini, including enhanced reasoning and user-friendly features, competition has intensified. OpenAI faces criticism over its ChatGPT-5 rollout, while Grok has dealt with politically charged controversies. The LLM race is further complicated by antitrust concerns, with both Google and Meta embroiled in lawsuits that could hinder AI advancements. This dynamic environment illustrates the fierce battle for dominance in AI technology and internet search capabilities, as companies strive for market leadership and innovation.
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