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AI’s Impact on the Legal Profession: Jobs for Lawyers Remain Secure for Now

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AI might not be coming for lawyers’ jobs anytime soon

Recent benchmarks, such as the Professional Reasoning Benchmark from ScaleAI, aim to assess the capabilities of leading large language models (LLMs) in legal and financial tasks. Despite advancements, results indicate significant gaps in reliability for professional use. The top-performing model only achieved a score of 37% on tough legal problems, highlighting frequent inaccuracies in legal judgments and opaque reasoning. Afra Feyza Akyurek, the study’s lead author, emphasizes that LLMs currently cannot replace human lawyers. Similarly, the AI Productivity Index reported substantial limitations, with the leading model scoring 77.9%. Although more challenging than previous assessments, these benchmarks do not fully encapsulate the complex, subjective questions lawyers face in practice, as noted by experts like Jon Choi and Julian Nyarko. The ambiguity inherent in legal work, combined with inadequate training data, hampers LLMs’ ability to emulate human legal reasoning effectively, raising concerns about their practical application in the legal field.

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