Tesla’s compensation plan for CEO Elon Musk hinges on ambitious goals, including an $8.5 trillion market cap and $400 billion in adjusted EBITDA, along with significant advancements in robotaxi deployments, Full Self-Driving subscriptions, AI Optimus robots, and electric vehicle sales. Three AI chatbots analyzed Musk’s potential to acquire $1 trillion worth of Tesla shares with varied predictions. Grok, from Musk’s xAI, was optimistic, estimating a 25% overall chance Musk could achieve all targets within a decade, post-revisions. ChatGPT offered a more cautious view, with just a 2% chance for full achievement. Conversely, Google’s Gemini provided a bleak outlook, suggesting “effectively zero” odds for Musk meeting each milestone. The plan also features partial compensation linked to meeting incremental targets, starting at a $2 trillion valuation and progressing through additional tiers. The extreme growth required for these ambitions necessitates unprecedented increases in production and profitability across Tesla’s operations.
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