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Andrej Karpathy Predicts a Decade for Effective AI Agents to Emerge

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Andrej Karpathy Say It Will Take a Decade for Agents to Actually Work

Andrej Karpathy, co-founder of OpenAI, recently discussed the current limitations of AI agents on the Dwarkesh Podcast. Despite industry excitement, he claims that these agents lack sufficient intelligence, multimodal capabilities, and continual learning. According to Karpathy, it may take a decade to address these issues, as today’s AI tools exceed present capabilities. He envisions a future where AI and humans collaborate effectively, enhancing each other’s programming skills rather than rendering humans obsolete. Concerns over AI errors were echoed by others, including ScaleAI’s Quintin Au, who noted a significant risk of compounding mistakes with each task an AI undertakes. While Karpathy maintains a critical view of current AI developments, he considers himself optimistic compared to the broader skepticism surrounding AI’s potential. His insights highlight the need for patience and realistic expectations in the rapidly evolving AI landscape.

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