Microsoft stock today increased by 1.9%, reaching $401.14 (approximately HK$3,129). This rise follows Google’s Gemini app attaining 750 million monthly active users, intensifying competition with OpenAI and potentially impacting Microsoft’s Azure and Copilot demand. Technical analysis shows Microsoft trading below its 50-day and 200-day averages, indicating resistance, while an RSI of 45.34 suggests neutral momentum. The upcoming earnings report on April 29, 2026, will be crucial, with focus on Azure growth, Copilot attach rates, and AI gross margins. Hong Kong investors should monitor how Gemini’s success could affect market dynamics and Azure workloads. Key valuation metrics indicate a 25x TTM EPS and a 0.85% dividend yield. Overall, while Microsoft retains its leadership in AI, competitive pressures from Google necessitate vigilance in product execution and Azure performance. Position sizing and staggered entries may help manage volatility as the AI growth outlook continues to evolve.
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