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Proposing a Wager to Scott Alexander on AI’s Impact in the Next Three Years

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Navigating the AI Hysteria: Shift from Predictions to Reality

In a world buzzing with AI predictions, it’s time to focus on the tangible. This perspective advocates for demanding evidence-backed observations rather than speculative claims about what the future holds. The author presents:

  • Current Discourse: A contrast between rampant enthusiasm and the scarcity of skepticism in media narratives.
  • Types of AI Psychosis: Observations highlight a widespread belief in transformative, albeit unverified, impacts of AI on human existence.
  • Call for Accountability: Those making extraordinary claims should provide extraordinary evidence.

Key takeaways include:

  • The burden of proof lies with those who assert revolutionary change.
  • Understanding technology’s evolution as part of the norm rather than disruption.
  • The call to rethink our reliance on AI advancements amidst societal challenges.

This insightful commentary encourages a return to human connection over digital distraction.

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