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Show HN: AI Identifies Kalshi’s 86% Prediction While Vegas Stands at Just 12%

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Harnessing Prediction Markets: A Game-Changer for Data Insights

In the ever-evolving world of prediction markets, staying ahead of the curve is key. After closely monitoring platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket, I’ve developed a tool that systematically flags discrepancies between these markets and established Vegas odds.

Key Features:

  • Data Aggregation: Pulls insights from 36 sources, including sportsbooks, polling sites, and social sentiment from Reddit.
  • Real-Time Analysis: Utilizes Python with async calls to hit multiple APIs simultaneously.
  • Alert Mechanism: Flags inconsistent odds, providing early warnings of potential market inefficiencies—like the recent Paul vs. Joshua boxing match.

Given the staggering 92% Vegas odds for Joshua vs. Kalshi’s 86%, my tool caught the incongruity, predicting the knockout.

Your Feedback Matters!

  • What additional data sources should I consider?
  • Have you experienced similar discrepancies in prediction markets?

Let’s dive deeper! Share your insights and connect to explore the future of prediction markets. 🚀

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