Citrini Research recently warned of the potential for agentic AI to trigger mass economic destruction over the next two years, envisioning a future where unemployment doubles and stock market values plummet by over a third. This scenario highlights a detrimental feedback loop: as companies adopt AI, they require fewer workers, leading to white-collar layoffs and reduced consumer spending. This results in increased pressure on margins, prompting further investment in AI, exacerbating the cycle. Citrini’s report diverges from typical doomsday predictions by focusing on the disintegration of the economy through AI integration, suggesting a shift from external contractors to in-house AI solutions. Dubbed a “new bear case,” the analysis raises concerns for business models reliant on transaction optimization. While the report is generating considerable discussion, many remain skeptical of its implications, especially regarding companies’ readiness to entrust critical purchasing decisions to AI agents. Overall, it serves as a poignant cautionary exploration of AI’s impact on employment and economic stability.
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