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Why Evaluating the Effectiveness of New AI Models Can Take Months

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Unlocking the Mystery of AI Model Performance

In the rapidly evolving landscape of AI, understanding the performance of new models is a challenge. With the release of GPT-5, opinions varied widely, but recent insights reveal its true capability, especially for agentic work. Here’s what you need to know:

  • Evals vs. Reality: Traditional evaluations often misrepresent model effectiveness due to their reliance on curated datasets. Real-world performance may not align with strong eval scores.

  • The Vibe Check Dilemma: Interacting with models can help gauge their quality, but subjective assessments often lack reliability in discerning true capability.

  • Practical Testing: Engaging models with real-world tasks takes time but offers the most reliable insights into their effectiveness.

  • Ongoing Debate: The ambiguity around AI progress—whether it’s stagnating or advancing—largely stems from our inability to confidently assess model improvements.

Curious to explore more? Share your thoughts or join the conversation on this intriguing topic! 🌟

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